| kram madness 3 | 158.34 (done) |
| xfactor | 141.16 (done) |
| junk yard dawg | 133.48 (done) |
| wolf river dragons | 124.70 (done) |
| coctails and dreams xiv | 123.24 (done) |
| hip id liquos | 122.36 (done) |
| mark's dogs | 122.18 (done) |
| gargoyles | 121.08 (done) |
| orange juice | 120.94 (done) |
| rock ur world 58 | 120.82 (done) |
| beantown's best | 120.48 (done) |
| www.peepdot.com | 120.42 + mcnabb |
| skowman | 119.96 + phil dst |
| your mom | 119.92 (done) |
| mike and shea dynasty | 119.2 + westbrook |
By my counts, there are only a few teams who should feel safe that they are definitely in for Vegas.....
kram madness 3 owned by mark w
xfactor owned by shane s
www.peepdot.com owned by aaron w
junk yard dawg owned by jeremy s
mike and shea dynasty owned by mike and shea
cocktails and dreams owned by chad s (119.10 + westbrook)
Two of these 6 teams are currently below the cut line of 119.20, but they are very close and have a key player going tonight. Currently, I see two teams above the cutline who need more than a minor miracle to not get bumped below the cut line tonight....
Your mom owned by harold h.
Beantown's Best owned by Donald T.
The key players in tonight's game are the following (The number is my point prediction for tonight)
Donovan Mcnabb (19.28)
Brian Westbrook (15.10)
Kevin Curtis (3.8)
DeSean Jackson (13.6)
Braylon Edwards (5.1)
David Akers (7.0)
Phil DST (9.0)
Obviously a lot is going to happen when Philly has the ball. I'm sure some owners will secretly be rooting for Westbrook and/or McNabb to suffer a game ending injury. Cleveland's defense has been playing much better as of late, but I'm sure Philly will score at least 2 TD's tonight. Who gets them will be the question of the night.
Using my point predictions above, here is the final 15 heading to Vegas:
| kram madness 3 | 158.34 | |
| xfactor | 141.16 | |
| www.peepdot.com | 139.7 | |
| who wha | 138.78 | |
| mike and shea dynasty | 134.3 | |
| coctails and dreams | 134.2 | |
| junk yard dog | 133.48 | |
| skull crushers 2 | 130.3 | |
| skowman | 128.96 | |
| touched by an uncle 2 | 127.74 | |
| giantboys | 125.68 | |
| wolf river dragons | 124.7 | |
| cocktails and dreams xiv | 123.24 | |
| hip id liquos | 122.36 | |
| mark's dogs | 122.18 | |
One interesting question I have going into the game, is "Are any gamblers who are relying on tonights results, going to hedge themselves with a Vegas wager?" How would they do this? For instance...someone who is pretty safe (wolf river dragons), but could get passed should a ton of points be score, can wager $1000 on the over tonight. If they lose the wager, they are almost certainly staying in the top 15 and will win the $1000 back plus a lot more. It's also possible they could win their wager AND stay in the top 15...a double bonus! Someone who can only be hurt by Westbrook or McNabb, may find propositions that have an over/under on Westbrook's total yards or whether or not he will score a TD. Does anyone plan to hedge their status by wagering on the game tonight?
Finally, here are my odds for making the top 15:
1:10000 - the 6 teams I listed above as 'almost guaranteed to be in'
1:5 - wolf river dragons
1:1 - skowman, who wha, skull crushers II, cocktails and dreams xiv, hip id liquos, mark's dogs, giantboys and touched by an uncle 2,
2:1 - gargoyles, orange juice, and rock ur world 58
5:1 - beantown's best and naked bootlegs,
20:1 - top gun and prevent defense
100:1 - the team to beat, rotoplay and baconisgood2
1000:1 - rube nation
10000:1 - your mom, madcow vi and rotoworld
The past 2 monday night games have featured a late long TD run which vaulted dozens of teams over the cut line. Could that happen again tonight with Westbrook? Or could a late Cleveland team take points away from the Philly defense dropping an owner below the cut line? I plan to keep a live game blog, so check in tonight and enjoy the excitement!
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