week 14 predictions

I've slacked the past week or two because of the holidays, but my Break out and Bust down post is back for this week.

Players I think will break out:

QB - Ben Roethlisberger - I still think Dallas has a poor defense and with an injured DeMarcus Ware, Ben should have all day to find wide open receivers. I don't care how bad the weather is or that Adam Jones is back, Big Ben should equal Big Points this week as his stat sheet will be raining with 300+ yds and at least 2 td's.

RB - La Danian Tomlinson - Historically shreds the Raiders for both a lot of yards and a lot of TD's. This week will give owners at least some satisfaction of using a high pick on him. Similar to Westbrook's big week last week. While Al Davis is saying "Just Win Baby", LT will be saying "Just Scored Again Baby".

RB - Kevin Smith - With the Williams Wall on suspension for water pills, look for some big holes. The past 4 weeks, Smith has been given plenty of touches and has produced. Look for Detroit to run all over Minnesota (and vice versa). There could be 400+ yds rushing for both teams in this game.

WR - Randy Moss - The weak Seattle secondary will get exposed yet again. The offense will look to rebound in a strong way after being humbled by Pittsburgh last week. If you don't know Marcus Trufant's number, you'll get to see it plenty on Sunday as he chases down Randy Moss.

WR - Laverneous Coles - Besides last week, the niners have been pretty solid against the run (under 4 yds per carry). Both Coles and Favre were shut down last week, so look for the Jets to get C-O-L-E-S COLES! COLES! COLES! involved early and often.

TE - Owen Daniels - His numbers suffered under Sage Rosenfels. Schaub is back and the Packer linebackers haven't been good at covering TE's this year. With bad weather in the forecast, a shorter passing game will be needed on Sunday for the Texans.

K - Jason Elam - like receivers, kickers are always a crap shoot. This time of year, you go for kickers in domes or on the west coast. The Saints/Falcons game should be high scoring and the lack of red zone passing for Atlanta should lead to FG's.

Projected Busts for week 14:

QB - Tony Romo - nobody has had success passing against Pittsburgh. Combine their strong pass rush with a below average offensive line, and Romo will be hoping to leave this game with nothing more than a broken pinkie.

RB - Steve Slaton - He won't be as fast on the tundra. He's had a short recovery week. And the Packers should have an early lead which will force Houston to throw more. If he does anything this week, it will be with receiving yards.

RB - Marshawn Lynch - Had a nice 8.4 yds per carry last week, but not this week. With a hurting qb, Miami should concentrate on stopping the run because Buffalo won't be able to score thru the air.

WR - Steve Smith - The vaunted cover 2 defense of Tampa Bay prevents the big plays. Smith did go for 112 yds against them in Tampa this year, but I just have a gut feeling that he'll be shut down this week.

WR - Andre Johnson - Maybe I'm just a homer, but I see a blowout in Green Bay this week. The Packer corners have been good despite the lack of a pass rush. They get beat on the ground and covering tight ends. With the short work week for Houston and a desperate Green Bay team, look for a rout and very little stats for the Texan players.

TE - Dallas Clark - It's about time for Indy's offense to explode and Cincy could be just what the doctor ordered. However, I see Addai and Wayne as the major benefactors. A big lead early could mean very little second half passing. DC will be the forgotten man this week.

That's my feelings for this week. I've usually been good with my sleeper picks. I have had a few bust picks have big games in the past. Good luck and if my predictions help you win this week, come back and give me a high 5. If you take my advice and bench andre johnson and he scores 25 points...I'll give you my picks for the rest of the year for free.