Cut line fun

As it stands going into the Monday night game, the unofficial cut line is 105.42. Here is the data I've gathered so far:

- 57 teams with less than 115 pts and no players left
- 23 teams are between 115 and 118 with no players left
- 29 teams are above the cut, but under 110 with 1 player left
- 9 have rodgers
- 6 have driver
- 4 have rice
- 3 have crosby and green bay
- 2 have jennings
- 1 has grant and baltimore
- 16 teams are between 110 and 115 with 1 player left that's not aaron rodgers (I'm assuming he'll have at least 8 pts and get the teams in this range over 118)
- 5 have driver
- 3 have crosby and mason
- 2 have baltimore
- 1 has rice, jennings and green bay
- 58 teams within 10 of the cut line, 21 have 2 players left and the other 37 have one player
- 9 have rice
- 8 have rodgers
- 7 have driver
- 3 have mason, crosby and green bay
- 2 have Jennings
- 1 have grant and baltimore
- 71 teams are within 20 of the cut line. 7 have 3 players left, 31 have 2 left and 33 have just 1 left.
teams with 1 left:
- 12 rodgers
- 8 rice
- 6 driver
- 2 mason
- 1 flacco/jennings/crosby/gb/balt
top 2 player combos remaining:
- 8 rodgers/rice
- 4 rodgers/driver
- 3 rodgers/jennings
- 2 rice/crosby and rodgers/mason

- 55 teams are 20+ points off the cut line and have at least 2 players left.
- The teams that have 5 players left have 39.8 and 65.7 points going into tonight
- The teams with 4 players left have 51.12, 65.36, 67.20 and 68.46 points
- 14 teams are at least 30 points out with 3 players remaining
- 11 teams are 20-30 points out with 3 players remaining
- 24 of the teams at least 20 points out have 2 players remaining with the most common combos being:
- 7 rodgers/rice
- 4 rice/jennings
- 2 rodgers/grant, rodgers/gb, rodgers/driver, and flacco/driver

My guess is that the 21 teams with 2 players left and are within 10 of the cut line, will all get to 105 and probably 115 which will eliminate the first 21 people who are done and above the cut line. This would move the cut to 109.92. I'll put the 7 teams who have 3 players left and are at 85 points or more above this number. If Rodgers has at least 15 points, that puts 8 more teams at 110 or higher. If Driver or Rice have a big night (15+), then another 10-20 teams who are below the cut will go above 110. I will also put the team which is at 65.7 points with 5 players left above 110. That's an average of 10 per player, which isn't a lot.

With an average game, I see the cut going all the way up to 111.90. If Green Bay scores at least 20 points, then I see the cut line going up to 114.0. If Rodgers and Driver get shut down, the people around 109.0 could squeak through.

It's going to be a fun night and every big play will make a big swing in the cut line. My prediction is that the cut line will end up at 113.88. For my teams, that means I will need 11.03 points out of Rodgers for my JagerMeister team to advance and 42.34 out of my Rodgers/Rice/Finely trio to get my second team (Jim Beam) in. I will be satisfied with one team advancing and will be crushed if neither team can advance. Boldin put my JagerMeister team in good shape and ADP hurt my Jim Beam chances.

If either of these teams make it to the final 15, be assured that I will be a round of shots that match my team name for all FFOC participants and staff members who are in attendance!

Stay tuned for my live game blog tonight. I'd love to hear your predictions as to what the cut line will end up at tonight. Post your prediction in the comments for this blog.